Main horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Submit, Racing Submit Weekender, Racing & Soccer Outlook and the GG.co.uk web site. Andrew makes use of stats and methods to seek out worth bets and shares his newest ideas beneath…
It’s day two of York’s Ebor Pageant (Thursday, August 18th) the place Andrew has recognized 5 stats-based choices, some at big costs. Observe his ideas this week and all 12 months spherical on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his newest picks beneath:
GLEN LAUREL (system – Kevin Ryan, Lope De Vega)
Kevin Ryan should be a giant fan of the sire Lope De Vega, having bought a number of wins out of the likes of Mount Tahan, Flaming Spear, Ayutthaya, Weekender Offender and Roulston Scar over time. Merely backing all his Lope De Vega runners would have discovered 23 winners from 125 bets (18.4% strike-rate) for a revenue of £12.40. GLEN LAUREL contributed with a wide-margin debut success at Thirsk and could be forgiven her subsequent Ascot defeat as she did an excessive amount of too quickly and helped to set it up for the closers. This observe ought to go well with and she or he’s value a small each-way curiosity at 25-1+.
SHOULDVEBEENARING (system – Havana Gray, 5f-6f, turf)
Progeny of first-season sire Havana Gray have a 30 from 155 file when racing in turf sprints (19.4%) and backing them blind would have returned a revenue of £66.04 to a £1 stage stake at SP. SHOULDVEBEENARING is one in every of three qualifiers on this beneficial gross sales race (the others are Metahorse and Havana By The Sea) and his coach, Richard Hannon, has received 4 of the final six renewals. His low draw shall be a bonus on Wednesday’s proof.
TIME LOCK (system – Frankel/Dubawi cross)
Progeny of Frankel who’ve Dubawi as their damsire have achieved extraordinarily nicely, touchdown 40 of their 136 begins (29.4%) for a revenue of £61.20 (anticipated winners solely 28.26). TIME LOCK was vastly spectacular at Newmarket in Might and should not have been suited by the delicate circumstances when overwhelmed at Haydock final time. She will be able to bounce again to profitable methods this afternoon.
SUNNY ORANGE (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)
Because the starting of 2016, coach Ralph Beckett is nineteen from 86 along with his first-time blinkered runners and backing them blind would have returned a revenue of £75.73. SUNNY ORANGE struggled on delicate floor at Haydock final time and may bounce again within the headgear. He’s additionally been gelded since his final run.
TRUELY ACCLAIMED (system – turning tracks)
The constant TRUELY ACCLAIMED has but to win on a straight observe, recording kind figures of 022224 (0-6). Nevertheless, when racing on turning tracks over 7f-7.5f her file stands at 153211 (3-5), together with a big-field course and distance win earlier this season. She’s nicely drawn in stall 6 and an be supported each-way on this 7f fillies’ nursery.
Different Horse Racing Ideas
Placepot Tips – Wednesday 17th August
Each-Way Betting Tip – Wednesday 17th August
Andy Newton’s Lucky 15 Horse Racing Tips – Wednesday 17th August
Daily Horse Racing Betting Tips – Wednesday 17th August
Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Wednesday 17th August
Andrew Mount’s SpreadEx Analysis – Wednesday 17th August
Today’s Horse Racing NAP – Wednesday 17th August
York Ebor Festival Tips and Trends – Wednesday 17th August
Juddmonte International Tips and Trends – Wednesday 17th August
York Racing Free Bets & Ebor Festival Betting Offers – Day One
Kevin Blake’s York Tips – Wednesday 17th August
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